Every professional gambler in America knows that we are now firmly in the “sweet spot” of the NFL season where there’s money to be made since the public hasn’t caught on yet to which teams are good and which are bad. Therefore, they’re still making tons of retail bets and with a bookie’s main job being to balance the action, there are a ton of great odds to hop on. The sweet numbers start disappearing around Week 6 or 7 so pay attention to what’s on tap this weekend.
The slate of games for Week 4 of the 2019 NFL season are definitely interesting and will teach us a lot about who’s contending and who’s pretending. Case in point, the divisional match up in Baltimore between the Ravens and the Browns is going to speak volumes on which direction each is heading, with all of the reputable U.S. offshore sportsbooks giving Cleveland 7 points in what will surely prove to be a key AFC North tilt. This will be the event that tells us what Baker Mayfield is truly made of – buckle up!
Speaking of 7 point spreads, that’s the exact line Home Dog Detroit gets as they host the high-octane Chiefs at 1pm on Sunday. Kansas City are one of the best teams in the league but those wonky Lions led by Matthew Stafford are totally unpredictable. They should either lose by 21 or win by 4 so those who are faint of heart should stay away from this one. However, if you want to bet on the Chiefs to cover, place your action at SportsBetting.ag because you’ll get an extra half point with their line of -6½, which could be a difference-maker.
Staying on the theme of 7 point lines, that’s what the Raiders get as they stomp into Indianapolis, with an Over/Under of 44½. Every book currently has the same spread but MyBookie has the O/U at 45 so place your Under wagers there. It’s interesting the Patriots are only getting 7 on the road in Buffalo as they appear to be a much better team than their hosts, but divisional games are always tough on the road. If you want to bet on the Bills to cover the spread do it at the aforementioned MyBookie as they’re gifting a half point with their odds of BUF +7½.
Finally we have the two biggest Dogs of the weekend, with one at home and the other on the road. The Rams are obviously favored over the “up-and-coming” Buccaneers, getting a spread of -9½, which does seem a little high for a Bruce Arians coached team. Anyone who thinks that Tampa Bay might keep it interesting should book action at the Bovada Sportsbook to get an extra half point at Bucs +10.
So who’s the biggest Dog on the board for Week 4? None other than the Miami Dolphins, who will probably have this distinction multiple times throughout the year. This Home Dog is getting a whopping 15½ points against the Chargers at most websites, however, MyBookie steps up again with better odds of +16. Los Angeles should win but anything’s possible with Philip Rivers screaming at his teammates all day…Dolphins to cover might be the play here. Good luck!